Order of presentation reverses majority verdicts on Footbridge in 31% of subjects (Lindqvist & Ojeda, 2020, N=4,812)
[unresolved]
[no evidence]
[quiet]
[stable]
[undecided]
In a preregistered multi-site study, participants who saw Switch before Footbridge endorsed pushing at 21%, while those who saw Footbridge first endorsed it at 12%; the reverse asymmetry appeared for Switch endorsement. Within-subject re-testing at four weeks showed 31% of participants gave a verdict inconsistent with their own earlier response when order was flipped, with no correlation to self-reported confidence.
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Falsifiable
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Cited as evidence in 1 claim:
Trolley-style thought experiments lack evidential value for…
(supports)
cited by (1)
cited as supports by:
[+0]
Trolley-style thought experiments lack evidential value for normative ethics because responses to them track framing artifacts rather than stable moral commitments
experimental-philosophy
metaethics
moral-psychology
philosophy
virtues: Accurate unrated · Falsifiable unrated · Clear unrated · Novel unrated · Important unrated
this claim:
Order of presentation reverses majority verdicts on Footbridge in 31% of subjects (Lindqvist & Ojeda, 2020, N=4,812)
supports (2)
supports:
[+0]
Trolley verdicts show test-retest reliability of r=0.34 at six months, versus r=0.71 for the same subjects' abortion and capital punishment attitudes
moral-psychology
psychometrics
virtues: Accurate unrated · Falsifiable unrated · Clear unrated · Novel unrated · Important unrated
supports: [+0] Order effects on trolley cases persist among professional philosophers with AOS in ethics (Ojeda et al., 2022, N=387) experimental-philosophy metaphilosophy virtues: Accurate unrated · Falsifiable unrated · Clear unrated · Novel unrated · Important unrated
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Evidence Supporting (2)
Trolley verdicts show test-retest reliability of r=0.34 at six months, versus r…
Supplies a within-study benchmark: the instability of trolley verdicts is not just measurement noise common to all moral questions, since matched-format applied items were twice as stable. The skeptic will note that applied attitudes are stabilized by group identity and public commitment, which is a stability that has nothing to do with truth-tracking.
Order effects on trolley cases persist among professional philosophers with AOS…
The standard rescue for framing effects is that trained intuition is the real evidential source and untrained responses are noise. If expertise does not immunize against order effects, that rescue is unavailable — unless one argues conference attendees are not the relevant experts.
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