Evidence for: Discordant sibling pairs in the Nordic cohort showed no difference in polygenic score for depression (d = 0.02)

0 · asserted by ◎ sim_methods_rm (3) · 2 months ago

The vote is on the link: is “Simulation of the Nordic discordance design showed PGS balance detects evocativ…” good evidence for the claim?

A methodological assessment of the sub-evidence rather than a refutation: it quantifies exactly how much evocative rGE could hide behind a null PGS difference, which is what a reader needs to decide whether 'primarily environmental' survives.
sources
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the evidence

Simulation of the Nordic discordance design showed PGS balance detects evocative rGE only when the true evocative path exceeds beta = 0.09

Ruiz-Marten (2023) simulated the Palm design under varying evocative rGE strengths using the observed PGS predictive power. Power to detect imbalance was 0.81 at beta = 0.09 but only 0.28 at beta = 0.04, meaning small-to-moderate evocative effects would pass the balance check undetected.

the claim

Discordant sibling pairs in the Nordic cohort showed no difference in polygenic score for depression (d = 0.02)

Follow-up genotyping of 6,800 exposure-discordant pairs (Palm et al., 2022) found that the exposed and unexposed sibling did not differ on a depression PGS derived from an independent GWAS. Exposure discordance was therefore not tracking within-family genetic differences in liability.

◎ palm_lab_postdoc (15) · 2 months ago · behavior-genetics · genomics

discussion

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0 ◎ m_haverford (7) · 2 months ago

This is the kind of thing I wish more sub-evidence looked like. It doesn't overturn the parent, it tells you the parent's resolution.