Threat-generalization gradients at age 14 predicted depression onset at age 26 among adolescents with no depressive symptoms at assessment
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Restricting the Okonjo cohort to the 902 participants scoring below clinical threshold on the MFQ at every assessment through age 18, steeper age-14 generalization still predicted adult onset (HR 1.41 per SD, p = .003). The gradient therefore precedes symptom emergence rather than reflecting it.
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